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# Account Asset Sigs Calls Hit Rate 1d Win 1d EV Avg Gain Conf Last
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Signals
swing read for IOND · long-term accumulation reads for XBCI and SOL
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How the score works

Eight independent reads, each scored from -1 (bearish) to +1 (bullish), combined by weight and normalized over the reads that are computable for the ticker's history. Score +45 or more is STRONG BUY, +20 BUY, -20 SELL, -45 STRONG SELL. The signal state flips only when the score crosses ±20, which is what the chart markers and track record use. Decision support only, nothing is executed.

  • Trend 25: EMA9 vs EMA21, price vs the 50-day, 50-day vs 200-day.
  • MACD (12/26/9) 20: histogram sign and slope, line vs zero.
  • RSI-14 15: momentum, with extremes above 75 or below 25 flagged as do-not-chase.
  • Breakout (Donchian-20) 15: close vs the prior 20-bar high and low.
  • Bollinger (20, 2σ) 10: %B stretch outside the 20-day bands, plus a squeeze flag.
  • Volume / OBV 10: on-balance volume slope and volume vs its 20-bar average.
  • Market context 10: BTC regime for crypto names, SPY regime for equities, crypto Fear & Greed, SOL/BTC relative strength.
  • Timing (1-hour) 10: 1-hour EMA9/21, RSI and MACD alignment.

Long-term hold (accumulate) profile

Six reads for positions held for years, where weakness is an opportunity, not a risk: Value 25 (position in the 52-week range, distance from the 200-day, drawdown from the high), Momentum reset 20 (daily RSI-14 with weekly RSI as a second vote, overbought means pause), Stretch 15 (Bollinger %B), Structure 20 (price and 50-day vs the 200-day, weekly EMA10 vs EMA40, price vs 50-day: the thesis gate), Market context 10 (Fear & Greed read contrarian, BTC regime, SOL/BTC), Flow 10 (on-balance volume). +45 or more is BUY AGGRESSIVELY (2x tranche), +20 ACCUMULATE (1.5x), between is DCA AS PLANNED, -20 PAUSE ADDS, and STOP ADDING when the score is -20 or below with the long-term structure broken. A broken structure can never print BUY AGGRESSIVELY. There is no stop; the thesis level replaces it. The track record simulates weekly $100 buys with those multipliers against fixed DCA and compares average cost per unit.

Covered Calls
BITO premium finder · scored picks for selling calls against your position
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How this is scored

Every listed BITO call within the DTE/delta/liquidity filters is scored 0-100: annualized bid yield (45 pts, full marks at 60%+ annualized), probability of expiring OTM (25 pts), liquidity (15 pts — full marks at 200+ open interest and a 10% or tighter spread, linear below that), cushion (10 pts, the premium collected as a percent of price, full marks at 5%+), plus a 5-point bonus when the strike sits at or above your premium/distribution-adjusted basis. Contracts are hard-excluded when the bid is 1 cent or less, the bid-ask spread exceeds the Max Spread filter, or open interest is below the minimum — those are usually too illiquid to fill at a fair price regardless of score.

Assignment probability uses the option's own delta when the exchange provides one; where delta is missing or zero, it falls back to a Black-Scholes N(d2) estimate using the contract's own implied volatility, or the 30-day at-the-money IV when the contract's IV is unusable — each row's Prob column notes which was used.

The Campaign tile answers the actual goal: can selling calls get this position back to breakeven. Adjusted basis subtracts premiums already collected and distributions already received (per share) from your cost basis. Premium-per-month figures are the bid pro-rated to a 30-day pace, in dollars, across only the contracts your share count actually covers (100 shares per contract) — leftover shares below a full lot earn nothing. Months-to-breakeven divides the dollar gap between your adjusted basis and the current price by that dollar monthly pace. Selling calls below your original cost basis reduces the adjusted basis every month you do it, but if the stock rallies and the call is assigned, you realize a loss versus that original basis rather than just capping upside — the verdict line spells out which applies to the current top pick, and a liquidity warning fires when the position's contract count is a large share of a strike's own open interest.

Early-assignment risk flags when BITO's next estimated ex-distribution date falls before a call's expiry, the call is in the money, and the last distribution exceeds the option's remaining extrinsic value — the point at which a holder gains more by exercising early for the dividend than by selling the option. BITO's distributions are typically a cent or two, so this rarely trips, but the check runs on every candidate.

Decision support only. 15-minute delayed CBOE data. Nothing on this tab places, modifies, or cancels an order.

Portfolio
Live holdings via Plaid · owner only
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Coiled Springs
Dormant momentum names mapped by narrative cluster. Stocks that have already proven they can move 5–10×, are currently asleep, and sit on structural pressure — trapped capital, fragile float, narrative one catalyst from flipping. In the final phase of a parabolic rally, capital rotates DOWN the quality curve. These are where it lands.
Universe: —
Clusters: —
Updated: —
Score = % off peak + dormancy + liquidity
Discovery prototype, not investment advice. Past parabolic moves do not predict future ones. These tickers carry heightened structural risk and are unsuitable as primary positions. Used responsibly: surface candidates for vetting, not blind purchase.
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